Thursday 28 April 2022

2022 NFL Mock Draft – Version 2.0

Adamo Marinelli

April 28, 2022


This is version 2.0 of my mock draft. To see version 1.0, click here.


We have experienced arguably the wildest NFL offseason in recent memory. We still have the 2022 draft which starts tomorrow and many more months of free agency before the start of next season. Let’s take a look at every team’s biggest needs and predict which player each team will pick, based on either positional needs or the best player available. 


1st overall: Jaguars select: Travon Walker, DL, Georgia


2nd overall: Lions select: Kayvon Thibodeaux, EDGE, Oregon


3rd overall: Texans select: Evan Neal, OT, Alabama


4th overall: Jets select: Aidan Hutchinson, EDGE, Michigan


5th overall: Giants select: Ickey Ekonwu, OT, N.C. State


6th overall: Panthers select: Malik Willis, QB, Liberty


7th overall: Giants select Jermaine Johnson II, EDGE, Florida State


8th overall: Falcons select: Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama


9th overall: Seahawks select: Kenny Pickett, QB, Pitt 


10th overall: Jets select: Charles Cross, OT, Mississippi State


11th overall: Commanders select: Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner, CB, Cincinnati


12th overall: Vikings select: Derek Stingley Jr., CB, LSU


13th overall: Texans select: Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame


14th overall: Ravens select: Tyler Linderbaum, C, Iowa


15th overall: Eagles (via Dolphins) select: Drake London, WR, USC


16th overall: Saints (via Eagles) select: Matt Corral, QB, Ole Miss


17th overall: Packers (via Chargers) select: Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio State


18th overall: Eagles (via Saints) select: Trent McDuffie, CB, Washington


19th overall: Saints select: Trevor Penning, OT, Northern Iowa


20th overall: 49ers (via Steelers) select: Andrew Booth, CB, Clemson


21st overall: Patriots select: Devin Lloyd, LB, Utah


22nd overall: Chargers (via Packers) select: Nakobe Dean, LB, Georgia


23rd overall: Colts (via Cardinals) select: David Ojabo, Edge, Ohio State


24th overall: Cowboys select: Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State


25th overall: Bills select: Kaiir Elam, CB, Florida


26th overall: Titans select: George Pickens, WR, Georgia


27th overall: Raiders (via Bucs): Devontae Wyatt, DT, Georgia


28th overall: Packers select: George Karlaftis, EDGE, Purdue

29th overall: Chiefs select: Skyy Moore, WR, Western Michigan


30th overall: Browns (via Chiefs) select: Logan Hall, EDGE, Houston


31st overall: Bengals select: Daxton Hill, CB, Michigan


32nd overall: Lions (via Rams) select: Desmond Ridder, CB, Cincinnati 


This is an extremely talented group of players, especially at OL, DL, EDGE, WR, and LB who will surely help to improve the team they were chosen by. There is a lot of hype surrounding many of these players and there will be a lot of movement to ensure all teams get players they want and that fill their needs. We most certainly will see more trades than I've projected on draft night, but between who is yet to be determined. Most of the players in this draft class - at least in those projected to go in the first two rounds - have a ton of potential and I'm sure most teams will not regret picking them.

Saturday 23 April 2022

NFL 2022 Mock Draft - Version 1.0

Adamo Marinelli

April 23rd, 2022


We have experienced arguably the wildest NFL offseason in recent memory. We still have the 2022 draft and many more months of free agency before the start of next season. With the draft under two weeks away, let’s take a look at every team’s biggest needs and predict which player each team will pick, based on either positional needs or best player available. 


1st overall, Jaguars select: Aidan Hutchinson, OLB (Edge), Michigan


The Jaguars direly need a linebacker after losing Myles Jack. Allegedly, the Jaguars are keeping their options open and this is not a slam dunk pick. However, Hutchinson is arguably the best edge rusher in the draft and the best overall prospect in this year’s draft. He recorded a whopping 14 sacks in 2021 which made him a Heisman Trophy finalist and he is a leader on and off the field. He has numerous skills to make him successful in the NFL. He’s agile, athletic, and can beat blocks. 


2nd overall, Lions select: Kayvon Thibodeaux, OLB (Edge), Oregon


The Lions need help along the defensive line, at linebacker, and in the secondary. This pick could easily be Tayvon Walker or Ahmed “Sauce” Gardner. Thibodeau has a lot of potential as a pass rusher and possesses a lot of the skills needed to be a backfield wrecker in the NFL like speed, strength, and agility. He’s extremely confident in his abilities and his teammates rave about him. Allegedly his film shows his endurance needs some improvements, but he’s a blue-chip prospect.


3rd overall: Texans select: Evan Neal, OT, Alabama


The Texans need help across the entire offensive line, especially at tackle and guard. You could argue they need a QB, but I think they wait until 2023 to draft a QB and select the future of their offensive line; Davis Mills is a solid starter for a rebuilding team. Evan Neil is one of the most physically gifted linemen for his size (6’7”, 337lbs). He can play virtually any position on the line, excels at run and pass blocking, is agile, strong, and can move all over the field.


4th overall: Jets select Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner, CB, Cincinnati 


Gardner didn’t give up a single TD in his entire collegiate career, a phenomenal accomplishment. At 6’3, 190 lbs, he has the size to win 50-50 battles against taller receivers. He also has agility, length, strength, and tremendous ball skills. He recorded nine interceptions in the last three seasons. He is very physical and can jam receivers at the line and has the speed to run with any receiver. There are almost no flaws on tape with his game. Robert Salah lands the best cornerback in the draft to add to his scheme.


5th overall pick: Giants select Travon Walker, DL, Georgia


The Giants direly need help everywhere on the offensive line, at edge rusher, at defensive tackle, and at linebacker. Walker is the best defensive lineman in the draft and has tremendous upside. He had a legendary performance at the combine, has a high football IQ, and has the skills to succeed in the NFL such as a burst off the line, strength to defeat blocks, speed, agility, and lateral quickness. His big frame helps stop the run and he can rush the passer. However, despite the potential, allegedly his production doesn’t pop out at you on tape, which is a concern.


6th overall pick: Kenny Pickett, QB, Pitt


The Panthers have needs on the offensive line and at cornerback, but with the best prospect at those two positions gone, they spring for a QB to replace Sam Darnold after a failed experiment. Pickett is ranked the second-best QB in the draft but is the most NFL-ready of his class. Pickett ran a West Coast offense at Pitt (what the Panthers run) and Matt Rhule who previously coached at Temple, recruited Pickett out of high school. There’s a connection and a possibility to start on day 1, which is appealing to an otherwise decent roster.


7th pick: Giants (via Bears) select: Ickey Ekwonu, OT, NC State


The Giants got their defensive lineman who can effectively rush the passer and now they bolster their offensive line in a huge way. Ekwonu is listed at 6’4”, 310 lbs, and is extremely agile for his size. He is one of the best lineman prospects in the draft and possesses elite awareness, mobility, lateral quickness, and strength. He is a better run blocker than a pass blocker but he should be able to improve. He will be a huge addition and a great blindside blocker. 


8th pick: Falcons select Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio State


The Falcons have a ton of needs. They could grab a QB to make up for the loss of Matt Ryan, they could add a premium edge rusher in Jermaine Johnson II to bolster their defense, however, I believe they select arguably the best receiver in the draft to add to their offense and give Marcus Mariota another weapon alongside Cordarelle Patterson and Kyle Pitts. Wilson is fast, runs perfect short, intermediate, and deep routes, and has great hands, his excellent technique will help him adapt to the NFL, although his blocking could use some work.


9th pick: Seahawks (via Broncos) select: Malik Willis, QB, Liberty


The Seahawks are rebuilding and could very well select a top tier offensive lineman like Charles Cross or Trevor Penning and wait until next season to draft a QB, but after trading Russel Wilson, their only options behind center are Drew Lock and Geno Smith and many offensive linemen would struggle in front of either option. Willis is talented and the best QB in his class, has outstanding arm strength to deliver deep balls downfield, and the accuracy to fit passes into tight spaces. He has a quick and tight release, excellent for screens and RPOs. If it doesn’t work, there’s always the 2023 draft.


10th pick: Jets (via Seahawks) select: Charles Cross, OT, Mississippi State


After addressing their need in the secondary by selecting Gardner, the Jets could’ve added more depth with Derek Stingley but instead decide to select one of the best blindside tackles in the draft. While Cross does lack the true strength to push opponents up the field to be a dominant run blocker, his agility, balance, quickness, and elite first step make it tough for edge rushers to beat him around the edge. He is a great athlete and excels in the open field which allows him to cut off defenders and counter their attacks. He will be an ideal fit in the Jets’ zone offense.


11th pick: Commanders select: Derek Stingley, CB, LSU


The Commanders were poised to be one of the best defenses in 2021, but instead were one of the worst. Stingley is the first step towards fixing that. Two phenomenal seasons in 2020 and 2021 made him widely considered as a top 3 prospect in the entire 2022 draft. Despite a devastating injury in the 2021 season that has slid him down draft boards and kept him out for an extended period of time, he still has the skills to be an elite cover corner. He is tremendously athletic, his technique off the line of scrimmage is great, has great footwork, and has a high football IQ. He is just as good on run defense as in coverage. How much will the injury affect him and his habit of grabbing defenders are the two biggest question marks.


12th pick: Vikings select Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame


The Vikings direly need help in their secondary and Hamilton is the perfect fit for them. His size, speed, and athleticism give him tremendous versatility. He is able to play as a deep zone safety, a middle linebacker, an edge linebacker and can even play outside cornerback in a pinch. He has a high football IQ and always knows where the ball will be, sometimes even before the receiver. He reads offenses quickly and accurately, is active before the snap, and is able to jump routes with tremendous effectiveness. He has great cover skills and is a great tackler who’s able to bring down runners like a linebacker, which is great for his size. 


13th pick: Texans (via Browns) select: Kenyon Green, OG, Texas A&M


The Texans bolster their offensive line even more with the selection of Green. Green has a ton of potential and upside. He has tremendous strength, is quick and agile for his size, and has tremendous drive in the run game; he is able to drive defenders up the field and create holes for his running backs to run through. He is also a phenomenal pass protector and a huge part of one of the best offensive lines in college football. He only gave up one sack and four tackles for loss in 2021 (least in the SEC) and is extremely well-disciplined only conceding seven penalties.’


14th pick: Ravens select Nakobe Dean, ILB, Georgia 


The Ravens already have one of the better pass rushers in the league, adding Dean will make their pass rush and run defense even better. National Champion Georgia’s defense was the best in college football in 2021 and Dean was a huge reason for this. Not only can Dean rush the passer recording 8 sacks, 14 QB hurries, and 50 tackles in 13 games in 2021, but he has also proved to be excellent in coverage, posting an outstanding 30.7 QB rating when targeted in coverage. He is the most athletically gifted linebacker in the draft, with great speed, agility, strength, good tackling skills, and an excellent football IQ for diagnosing where the play is going.


15th pick: Eagles (via Dolphins) select: Trent McDuffie, CB, Washington


Trent McDuffie may not have the biggest frame for a cornerback, however, he has the skills to succeed in the NFL as a top-tier cornerback. He is an excellent athlete with explosiveness, speed, agility, and great ball tracking ability. He may not be able to press receivers at the line of scrimmage, but he has a quality back-peddle and a clean transition to normal coverage. He has incredible straight-line speed and is rarely ever beaten deep. He’s also excellent in man coverage, he has the ability to follow receivers step for step, recognizes routes very quickly, has great hands, and has a high football IQ to break on routes. He and Darius Slay will be very elite.


16th pick: Saints (via Eagles) select: Drake London, WR, USC


Without Michael Thomas, the Saints’ wide receiver core is not super impressive. Drake London is considered one of the best wide receiver prospects alongside Jameson Williams after the combine. London uses his speed to get separation on deep routes down the sideline or in the middle of the field and uses his length and long wingspan. His length and wingspan allow him to come down with virtually every 50/50 ball thrown his way, he led all of college football in contested catches. He has a plethora of jukes to make defenders miss in the open field and is a great blocker for his size in the run game.  


17th pick: Chargers select: Trevor Penning, OT, Northern Iowa


The Chargers will pounce on the opportunity to select a very talented tackle with a ton of potential in the entire draft to add to an already talented offensive line consisting of Rashawn Slater and Corey Linsley. He is extremely athletic and moves very well for his size. He has the strength to drive defenders to the ground in the run game and has the agility, length, wingspan, hand movement, and balance to keep up with top-tier edge rushers. He has all the tangibles to be considered a starting left tackle. He also has the versatility to play right tackle. This offensive line gets a lot better by adding Penning.


18th pick: Eagles (via Saints) select: Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State


Olave has an incredible burst off the line of scrimmage and has immense speed and he uses both traits to separate from defensive backs and get open. He has a great first step and accelerates to top speed in a hurry. He is a great route runner, has very reliable hands, and always stays focused: he never lets the ball get out of his sight. He is often used on deep routes because speed and acceleration always allow him to get open and his balance is excellent, he is able to tight rope along the sideline and comes in and out of breaks with ease. He has a high football IQ and can find holes in opposing defenses. He and Devonta Smith make a great duo.


19th pick Saints (via Eagles) select: Bernhard Raimann, OG, Central Michigan


The Saints selected a receiver to give Jameis Winston another weapon; now they take one of the better interior offensive linemen to protect Winston. Raimann is 6’7”, 304lbs, and is tall, a reliable blocker, with good agility, long arms, and a great initial punch that knocks rushers off their route. He has a ton of strength and power to push defenders up the field to create holes in the run game and is excellent against the bull rush in the passing game. He is also versatile and has the skills to play both guard and tackle. He is one of the highest-rated rush and pass blockers. 


20th pick Steelers select: Darian Kinnard, OT, Kentucky


The Steelers signed Mitch Trubisky and appear to want to wait until 2023 to draft a QB. In the meantime, they have to continue to improve their offensive line, which they will do by drafting Kinnard. Kinnard is a dominating pass protector with long arms and a big frame to stop opposing rushers in their tracks. He is explosive out of his initial stance and has excellent footwork, agility, and athleticism to match pass rushers around the edge. He has the size, strength, and quick feet to be effective as a position run-blocker in the NFL. He moves well laterally & is quick for his size.


21st pick Patriots select: Kaiir Elam, CB, Florida


The Patriots have a huge hole to fill at the cornerback position after losing all-pro J.C. Jackson. Elam is a solid option who has many of the tangibles to be a pro-bowl corner in the NFL. At 6’2”, 193lbs, he is the ideal size and weight for the position. As a former receiver, he has incredible speed, agility, and hands, he has a good vertical and great timing. He knows when to jump on routes and when not to as a former receiver. He has a high football IQ, good awareness of where the receivers will go and can track the ball well in the air. Even though he is a cornerback, he has the vision, range, hitting ability, and ball skills of a free safety in the NFL.


22nd pick Packers (via Raiders) select: Jahan Dotson, WR, Penn State


The Packers badly need a wide receiver with both Aaron Rodgers and Marquez Valdes Scantling this offseason. Dotson has elite speed and uses his agility off the line of scrimmage to shake off cornerbacks to create space. He uses his excellent acceleration, elusiveness, and his arsenal of juke moves to separate from corners and get open. As a smaller, stronger receiver, he gets comparisons to Antonio Brown. He is also a great route runner and has very sure hands. He only dropped two passes on 138 targets in 2021 and can find holes in the defense on short, medium, and deep routes. Aaron Rodgers will benefit from his speed, agility, and hands.


23rd pick: Cardinals select Jaquan Brisker, SS, Penn State


The Cardinals could use some help in the secondary and Brisker could be very helpful. He has a 

very good combine performance and is excellent in zone coverage, man coverage, and is a solid blitzer. He has a great combination of size, height, speed, length, and athleticism to play both strong and free safety. He is known for his ability to cover bigger tight ends and running backs very well and has the speed to run with most wide receivers. He is a leader on and off the field, has a tremendous football IQ, is an aggressive tackler, is not afraid to make plays on the ball and contest throws, and has great awareness. He reads the QB’s eyes & often beats the receiver to the ball, but can be beaten by play-action passes and sometimes gives too much of a cushion.


24th pick Cowboys select: Jordan Davis, DT, Georgia


The Cowboys could add to their offensive line or select another pass rusher, but I believe they will strengthen the interior of their offensive line with Davis. While Davis is not known for his ability to rush the passer, his tackling, ability to defeat blocks, and his ability to stop the run are fantastic for a man his size, 6’6”, 340lbs. He is a solid anchor and his size makes it almost impossible for opposing offensive linemen to push him off the line to create running gaps. He has amazing speed and agility for a man his size and relies on a strong bull-rush to push over linemen. He can still produce in the pass rush with 8 sacks and 6.5 TFL in 27 college games. 


25th pick Bills select Andrew Booth Jr., CB, Clemson


The Bills already have one of the best secondaries in the league and they will continue to improve it by drafting Booth, who despite having limited college experience due to injuries, has the potential to succeed in the NFL. He has long arms that allow him to contest passes, he tracks the ball well and times jump balls very well. He is physical, a good tackler, and has the strength to shed blocks and blow up screens. He backpedals with ease and his 4.38 40 speed allows him to keep up with many receivers. He will learn a lot & be mentored by this already strong secondary.


26th pick: Titans select, Devin Lloyd, OLB, Utah


A tall, athletic linebacker with a lean build, speed, agility, acceleration, excellent lateral movement, and a high football IQ, he can patrol the entire field. He is a quick thinker, with great instincts and great vision and awareness, he can see what happens before it happens and react to it. He has a good burst and can close on ball carriers in a hurry. He not only can stop the run, but he is decent in pass coverage with his speed, size, and instincts and is a dominant pass rusher after recording 8 sacks, 7 QB hits, and 16 QB hurries in 2021 alone. Titans HC Mike Vrabel will like this pick as a former pass-rushing linebacker.


27th pick: Bucs select Devonte Wyatt, DT, Georgia


The Bucs could bolster their offensive lineman, but they cannot refuse to draft one of the anchors of a Georgia defense that won a National Championship in 2022 to pair with an already excellent run stopper Vita Vea. He has great size and excellent speed and balance for his position. His quick hands allow him to disengage from blockers and make tackles on running backs. His big frame makes it difficult for one offensive lineman to move him, so with offenses needing to double team him and Vea, on the inside, the Bucs’ defensive ends and outside linebackers will feast. 


28th pick: Packers select: Daniel Faalele, OT, Minnesota


They got their wide receiver. Now they need to address their offensive line after the departure of Billy Turner and Lucas Patrick. Faalele is an effective run and pass blocker. At 6’9”, 380lbs, he is the biggest and one of the strongest players in the entire draft and he relies on raw power and natural strength to overwhelm defenders. He is quick and explosive at the point of attack, tough to get around because of his width, and is a powerful drive blocker with long arms and big hands that he uses to push defenders up the field in the run game. When rushers do get a push on him, he has a low balance point & good agility/balance that allow him to reset & regain an advantage.


29th pick: Chiefs (via 49ers) select Travis Jones, DT, Connecticut


Jones had a fantastic performance at both the Senior Bowl and the NFL combine and has proven he has the skills to be an all-pro pass rusher and run stopper. He has a high football IQ, a motor that never stops going, and great awareness. He constantly sees into opposing backfields, knows where the running back is going, and can shed blocks with ease to get to the running back. He is also a very good tackler and has the strength to push through double teams and seals. Steve Spagnuolo's unit gets someone with a lot of potential and versatility to work with.


30th pick: Chiefs select George Pickens, WR, Georgia


He is a bit of a boom or bust prospect as a result of his injury but he has the potential to be a #1 receiver and was considered a blue-chip prospect before his injury. He has excellent spatial awareness, is a savvy route runner who runs clean routes, and can get open using his speed and long arms to separate from defenders. He tracks the ball very well, even over his shoulder and he is not afraid of contact. He is always willing and able to run down the middle of the field. His good hands, concentration, and large catch radius make him a good deep ball, red zone, and 50/50 target. He is also hard to bring down because of his nasty stiff arm. However, his ACL injury and his off-field issues are huge concerns, he has never looked explosive off the line of scrimmage and he uses his chest and pads to secure deep balls more often than his hands which can be a problem. His lanky frame will prove challenging against bigger cornerbacks.


31st pick: Bengals select Daxton Hill, CB, Michigan


Hill has played all over the defense for Michigan and this versatility is always in high demand in a pass-heavy NFL. He is very athletic, fast, agile, has a high football IQ, great field awareness, and has excellent ball skills and length to make plays on the ball. He excels as a zone safety but his tackling, ball skills, instincts, anticipation, and quick reaction time allow him to excel in man coverage and he can even play cornerback too. His size, length, and speed allow him to cover almost all receivers, running backs, and tight ends too. He will be a huge addition to the Bengals’ defense, a unit that is already talented all over.


32nd pick: Lions select Desmond Ridder, QB, Cincinnati. 


While not the most hyped QB prospect in this year’s draft, he possesses the intangibles to succeed as a dual-threat QB. He is the third-winningest QB in college football history. He is 6’4” and moves very well in and outside of the pocket. He is not the fastest but his long strides allow him to cover ground quickly. He sees the field very well and is able to improvise when the play breaks down. He has a lot of arm strength and is accurate enough to drive the ball into very tight windows 20-25 yards up the field. He is also quite accurate on short and intermediate routes. However, he took a lot of sacks in college, which is likely to continue into the NFL with the Lions’ lackluster offensive line, he fails to give receivers the chance to make plays after the catch; he hesitates to pass to someone who is slightly covered, he doesn’t have a lot of touch on his passes and he struggles with his decision making and needs to improve his pre-snap recognition skills to read coverages and see blitzes.


This draft has many talented prospects, especially in the trenches (OL, DL, LB), and will have a positive impact on the future of many teams. This is probably not how the draft will end up happening but it is how I see it playing out. Either way, it’ll be exciting.


Also, the Chicago Bears, Cleveland Browns, Denver Broncos, Indianapolis Colts, Las Vegas Raiders, Los Angeles Rams, Miami Dolphins, and San Francisco 49ers do not own a first-round pick in 2022. Do I see some of those teams trading into the first round to fill a need? As of now, I don't, but that may change in later versions of my mock draft.

Saturday 16 April 2022

Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers - Playoff Preview

Adamo Marinelli

April 16, 2022


     The Philadelphia 76ers and the Toronto Raptors have only met twice in the playoffs before, both series have been iconic and have come down to the wire.


     In game seven of the 2001 Eastern Conference Semifinals, Vince Carter missed a game-winning shot at the buzzer and the 76ers held on to advance to the conference finals.


     18 years later, Kawhi Leonard hit arguably the most iconic shot in Raptors’ history - the shot heard around the world - to send the Raptors to the Eastern Conference Finals. The Raptors would go on to win their first NBA Championship. 


     This year, the fourth seed 76ers will clash with the fifth seed Raptors in the first round of the playoffs in what is set to be another memorable series between the two teams.


     This series will pit Joel Embiid, James Harden, Doc Rivers, and company against Pascal Siakam, Fred Van Vleet, Nick Nurse, and company.


     The Toronto Raptors convincingly won the season series 3-1 against the 76ers and were the better team in all four games. 


     The Raptors won the first matchup of the season 115-109. Joel Embiid didn’t play for the 76ers, but they were able to stay competitive from big performances by Tyrese Maxey, Tobias Harris, and Seth Curry. Fred Van Vleet, Gary Trent Jr., and OG Anunoby all balled out for the Raptors with 32, 20, and 20 points respectively. Scottie Barnes and Precious Achiuwa were huge on the glass. The Raptors played physical defense and forced several turnovers which led to transition points down the stretch. 


     In the second matchup, the Raptors were recovering from a COVID-19 outbreak and were without Anunoby, Van Vleet, Barnes, and Scottie Barnes. The Raptors kept it competitive with big outings from Chris Boucher, Siakam, and Trent Jr. but with Joel Embiid’s 36-point double-double and Tobias Harris’ triple-double, the 76ers held on to win 114-109.


     In the third game, the Raptors’ defense was excellent. They shut down a fully healthy 76ers’ offense without Van Vleet and Anunoby. Pascal Siakam, Precious Achiuwa, and Scottie Barnes all had tremendous games on both sides of the ball, especially on offense. Siakam and Achiuwa both had double-doubles, with many crucial points down the stretch in a low-scoring, gritty defensive game which had playoff vibes. 


     The final game of the season series was the most entertaining game of the season, in which the Raptors won 119-114. The Raptors managed to outlast the 76ers again without a full roster – Van Vleet and Anunoby were inactive. Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, and Danny Green had great games for the 76ers and the 76ers showed what they can accomplish when they get production from more than Harden and Embiid. However, once again the Raptors used their tenacious defense to keep the game close and Pascal Siakam’s great second half propelled the Raptors to a victory. Siakam had a monster triple-double, recording 37 points (including the game-winning bucket), 12 rebounds, and 10 assists, Gary Trent and Precious Achiuwa shot the ball well and Scottie Barnes was excellent on the glass and lock down defensively. 


In three of the four games of the season series, the Raptors were without several key starters. In two of those three games, the Raptors still managed to win. 


The Raptors will have a fully healthy roster in their series against the 76ers. If they can limit Joel Embiid and still put up points while missing key starters, they should definitely be able to do so with a fully healthy roster. 


Both teams needed the five-day rest before their series began. The Raptors starters played a lot of minutes all season and with Van Vleet and Anunoby dealing with injuries during the second half of the season, Siakam played a ton. Siakam and Van Vleet played the third and fourth most minutes per game in the NBA this year and Barnes, Anunoby, and Trent Jr. were all in the top 25 in minutes per game. 


For the 76ers, James Harden played the sixth-most minutes per game in the NBA (37.2) and there were periods where he visibly looked exhausted. Embiid doesn’t play the most minutes per game (33.8 is still a lot though) and he had some minor injuries and aches down the stretch which is tough for a big man. Both teams will be rested, but which team will use that to their advantage more?


Embiid is the best player in the series, no doubt, and we have all heard the adage that the team with the best player wins the series. However, in the 2019 series and in all three games of the season series that Embiid played, the Raptors defended him well. Embiid will score his points and will get his boards but the Raptors can defend Embiid as well as anyone, even without a true center. 


When Embiid has the ball, the Raptors are quick to collapse their defense, close off the lane to the rim, get off screens and send extra help to Embiid to force him to pass the ball away. When he has the ball in his hands in the paint, he is almost unstoppable. He is the first center to win the scoring title since Shaquill O’Neil. Because the Raptors force him to pass the ball away and contribute to the offense without the ball in his hands, which is harder for him as a big man. 


Embiid averaged 2.5 turnovers against the Raptors this year, and 4.3 last year; in the 2019 playoffs, he had 28 total in the seven games. 


In addition, the Philadelphia 76ers are a completely different team without Embiid on the floor. Philly scores 11.5 fewer points per 100 possessions whenever Embiid is on the bench. Not only 

do the Raptors have to limit Embiid when he’s on the floor, but they have to really take advantage of a weakened 76ers team when Embiid is on the bench. 


Another huge storyline is Matisse Thybulle not being able to play in Canada as a result of not being fully vaccinated. He will be able to play all of the 76ers home games though. Thybulle isn’t the best offensive player but is a force defensively and contributes in many ways on the defensive side of the ball. He is physical, rebounds well, gets steals, and is a great passer. 


Also, which James Harden will we get? A few years ago, he was considered one of the best offensive players in the NBA in the regular season and could drop a 40-point triple-double in the blink of an eye. 


As of late, he has regressed offensively, and even with the Rockets, in his scoring prime has never had a lot of success, if any, in the postseason with several failures in close-out games where he shot less than 30 percent. 


With Anunoby healthy, the Raptors have many options to guard Harden. They could also put Siakam, Van Vleet, or Barnes on him too, depending on who the 76ers have on the floor. 


Unlike the 76ers who generate the majority of their offense through Embiid, Harden, and Tyrese Maxey, the Raptors can generate offense from anyone. Because they play small ball, their lineup is very versatile and they switch up the main ball carrier frequently. Even forwards like Siakam and Barnes carry the ball up the floor occasionally, which helps guys like Van Vleet and Trent to find open areas for a shot.


Anunoby, Trent Jr., Van Vleet, Siakam, Barnes, and Thaddeus Young can all move the ball well and can all shoot from anywhere which keeps opposing defenses guessing. 


The Raptors’ bench has not been great this year, but guys like Chris Boucher, Khem Birch, and Precious Achiuwa are all solid backups and will be good in this series, especially for their rebounding and ability to guard Embiid. In addition, Malachi Flynn, Svi Myhiluk, and Yuta Watanabe can all be relied on every once in a while. 


The 76ers bench is solid on paper but can get hot very fast, especially from three. Georges Niang, Shake Milton, Danny Green, and Furkan Korkmaz can all hit a huge three to spark their offense in stagnant runs. The Raptors have been known to let opposing benches get hot, especially from three, so they have to rotate quickly on defense. 


One category the Raptors have an advantage in is team chemistry. Siakam, Anunoby, and VanVleet have played together for years and have lots of playoff experience, Boucher’s been around for their championship run, and Barnes and Birch have been with the team for over a year. Embiid and Harden may be the two of the best players in the series but have only played 21 games together.


Another distinct advantage the Raptors have is coaching. Nick Nurse is a far superior coach to Doc Rivers. Nurse has more experience in the playoffs and is more familiar with his current roster and all his players’ strengths and weaknesses. Nurse builds his team’s identity with physical, gritty defense. Their small ball lineup gives them flexibility on defense and allows them to double cover, send help, closeout lanes and get off screens quicker. It also allows for better ball movement and more open shots in a half-court offense. They limit opponents’ offensive chances and force them to take low percentage shots. The Raptors force turnovers and score frequently in transition. 


In addition to Embiid and Harden’s performances, that will directly impact how the 76ers do in the series, how Tyrese Maxey and Tobias Harris play will have a huge impact. Maxey is a quick, agile guard that can get to the rim, get off screens and shoot floaters from mid-range, and can also shoot the three-pointer. The Raptors have a tough time defending mid-range floaters, especially when the shooter comes off a screen. Maxey is a good catch and release shooter, he is the x-factor for the 76ers in this series. Harris is another x-factor because of his defense, rebounding, ability to drive the rim, rebound, and shoot the three. 


For the Raptors, Trent Jr. and Barnes are both the x-factor. They are both young and talented and their performance can add a lot to the Raptors’ game. Barnes is playing in his first playoff game. They are both talented, can shoot very well and their physical defense keeps games close. They need to be solid defensively, force turnovers, get the ball up the court in transition, move the ball around, and hit their shots. Trent Jr. is a great three-point shooter and Barnes is fantastic driving the rim. Barnes and Trent Jr. need to be effective without the ball in their hands and find open spots on the floor to get open shots. Precious Achiuwa is also an x-factor because you never know what he’ll do each night, but neither will the 76ers. On one night, he could lock down James Harden and force three steals and on other nights he can hit 5 threes and score 20. 


This will be a fantastic series regardless of who wins, but I think the Raptors will win because of their superior coaching. Nick Nurse and company will find a way to shut down Embiid, will use a variety of schemes to play physical defense, create turnovers and get points in transition. Siakam, Van Vleet, and Barnes will be the best offensive players for the Raptors but Anunoby and Trent Jr. will also produce. 


The 76ers after multiple playoff failures know it's time to win now. If they don’t win now, especially after trading for Harden there will be many changes coming to their roster in the offseason. 


For the Raptors, after going 27-45 last season and missing the playoffs, it’s nice to be back. There are really no expectations to win, but they have the potential to win on both sides of the ball. 


My prediction: Raptors in 6.

NBA 2022 Playoff Predictions

Adamo Marinelli

April 16, 2022


     The 2022 NBA playoffs start today. There are a lot of talented teams competing for the championship. Can the Milwaukee Bucks defend their title or will we have a new champion?


EAST: 


Round 1:


Miami Heat over Atlanta Hawks in 5 games


The Hawks are a tremendously skilled young team with a lot of potential after an incredible run to the Eastern Conference Finals in 2021, however, the Heat are one of the best defensive teams in the league, are one of the best shooting teams in the league, and have a lot of talent in their starting lineup and on their bench. The Heat win relatively easily with Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, 6th man of the year candidate Tyler Herro and one of the best coaches in the NBA.


Toronto Raptors over Philadelphia 76ers in 6 games


Nick Nurse is a better coach than Doc Rivers and thus the Raptors will be able to take advantage of the 76ers’ weaknesses better than the 76ers can take advantage of the Raptors’ weaknesses. The Raptors are a better defensive team than the 76ers and even though the 76ers have more superstar power, the Raptors will find a way to use their depth, grittiness, their ability to shoot the ball well from the field and from three, their ability to move the ball to get open looks and their ability to win close games to their advantage. Philadelphia is a formidable opponent, but with the way Pascal Siakam has been playing recently, the rise of Scottie Barnes, and great two way games from Fred Van Vleet, OG Anunoby, Gary Trent Jr., and Khem Birch on a consistent basis, this Raptors team has what it takes to beat anyone. If Joel Embiid is able to dominate the paint and kick it out to open shooters after drawing a second defender and if James Harden plays to his potential, the 76ers will win the series. However, the Raptors have held Embiid in check all season, have limited his effect on the game, and have frustrated him. Also no disrespect to Harden, but he is not very reliable in the playoffs either. Nick Nurse will be able to employ various defensive schemes to limit Embiid’s production and force his teammates to make the big shots which they will not be able to do consistently against a gritty Toronto defense.


Milwaukee Bucks over Chicago Bulls in 5 games


The Bulls started the season very well and looked like championship contenders. Down the stretch, they struggled as a result of injuries and a tough schedule. Milwaukee’s current roster has a ton of experience in the playoffs and a ton of chemistry. They are very efficient on both sides of the ball and are extremely well-coached. The Bulls aren’t the same team as they were in the first half of the season; the Bucks will cruise past the Bulls.


Brooklyn Nets over Boston Celtics in 7 games


The Boston Celtics started the season slowly but played amazing on both sides of the ball down the stretch. They earned the second seed in the Eastern conference and defensive player of the year candidate Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, and Jaylen Brown are all having great seasons. However, the injury to Robert Williams, their best defensive player will hurt the Celtics. Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving are both great offensively and the Nets have a near-perfect record when they are both healthy. They will take advantage of Williams’ injury and win big in game seven.


Round 2: 


Miami Heat over Toronto Raptors in 6 games


The Heat and Raptors are two of the best teams in the Eastern Conference. Both have talent all over their roster, a fantastic head coach, and are championship contenders. The Raptors’ tremendous defense, excellent transition offense, ability to win close games, and Nick Nurse’s ability to adjust on the fly will help them stay competitive in the series, however, the Heat are the best shooting team in the league, and have more depth than the Raptors which will ultimately help the Heat win the series. The Raptors are mobile defensively, but the Heat are tremendous at moving the ball, which leads to a lot of open shots. They rank 5th in the NBA in assist percentage (they have an assist on 66.4% of their buckets.) Both teams are good offensively but the Heat have the advantage. Tyler Herro is a fantastic shooter and he doesn't even start, which shows the amount of talent and depth on the Heat’s roster. The Raptors have reliable guys on the bench like Yuta Watanabe, Malachi Flynn, and Svi Mykhailiuk, but it isn’t as good as the Heat’s bench.


Milwaukee Bucks over Brooklyn Nets in 7 games


A rematch of last year’s East semifinal. Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving against Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton. Durant and Irving are both very good players and have played extremely well in their limited time together, but the keyword is limited. The Bucks have a ton of playoff experience and their team chemistry is very high after being together for multiple seasons and winning a championship last year. Antetokounmpo is also one of the best players in the league and is an MVP for a reason. The Bucks are the better defensive team, they will make life difficult on Irving and Durant. They will force turnovers and hurt the Nets with their great transition offense. No disrespect to Steve Nash, but the Bucks are also better coached under Mike Budenholzer and will be able to adapt to anything the Nets throw at them. In 2021, Durant’s foot was an inch over the three-point line, which led to the game-winning shot only tying the game. This year, the Bucks will win by more than an inch; it will be a 20-point game 7 win. 


ECF: 


Milwaukee Bucks over Miami Heat in 7 games


The Bucks and the Heat are arguably the two best and most well-rounded teams Eastern Conference. This will be a very entertaining series and will come down to the wire. Both teams have played in a final recently, with the Heat losing to the Lakers in 2020 and the Bucks beating the Suns in 2021. Both teams are incredibly talented, well-coached and both have top 10 offenses in the NBA and both are great defensively, but the Heat have the better defensive rating. The Heat are the best shooting team in the NBA and the Bucks are near the bottom of the league in defending the three, but they will dominate the paint. The Bucks will get back to the finals in overtime of game 7.


WEST:


Round 1:


Phoenix Suns over New Orleans Pelicans in 5 games


The Pelicans have a lot of young pieces with a ton of potential. With a few more years of good drafts, solid free agent signings, and if they develop their stars correctly, they have the skill to compete for consistent spots in the playoffs. They have a solid roster right now and beat the Clippers in a hard-fought game to earn the eighth seed but the first seed Pheonix Suns are the much better team. They have the best record in the NBA, have been the best team all season with 64 wins, are the best offensive team in the NBA, and are the third-best defensive team in the league. Devin Booker, Chris Paul, and DeAndre Ayton have been incredible this season and are on a mission for another potential title run. It will start with a relatively easy series win vs the Pelicans. The Pelicans have the talent to win one game, but that is all they’ll get


Utah Jazz over Dallas Mavericks in 6


The Mavericks are the better team and are the favourites in this series, however, with Luka Doncic being out for game one and potentially game two, the Jazz will take an early series lead and never look back. Rudy Gobert is excellent at defending the paint and he’s a defensive player of the year favourite. The Mavericks will have a tough time scoring buckets in the paint against Gobert and will have a tough time shooting from deep. Donovan Mitchell will dominate offensively with his excellent ball-handling, great shooting, and ability to get the ball to any of his teammates anywhere on the floor.

 

Golden State Warriors over Denver Nuggets in 5


Steph Curry is one of the best offensive players and the best shooter in the NBA and is back from his injury, Klay Thompson has had an incredible season, and Draymond Green, Andre Iguodala, and Andrew Wiggins have all been an integral part of the Warriors’ success this year. Nikola Jokic is likely going to win his second consecutive MVP while recording 2000+ points, 1000+ rebounds, and 500+ assists in a single season, however, with Jamal Murray injured, Jokic is the only superstar on the Nuggets. The Warriors have more experience and will win.


Memphis Grizzlies over Minnesota Timberwolves in 7


Two young, physical, and feisty teams with a handful of superstars. This will be the closest and most entertaining series in the first round. The Timberwolves had a good regular season and Patrick Beverly got his revenge against the Clippers in the play-in game to secure the seventh seed, but the Grizzlies are the better team with Ja Morant, Dillon Brooks, Steven Adams, and Jaren Jackson Jr. who have all had good seasons. Timberwolves keep it close with their defense but the Grizzlies win the series. 


Round 2:


Phoenix Suns over Utah Jazz in 5 games


The Utah Jazz have a bright future with several key pieces like Donovan Mitchell, Rudy Gobert,

 and Mike Conley, but the Suns are the better team. The Jazz has the best offensive rating in the NBA at 116.2 but the Suns’ defense is among the best in the NBA along the perimeter and in the paint. Also, the Suns’ offense is explosive, especially midrange jumpers in the paint and three-pointers; they have the fourth-best offensive rating in the NBA Devin Booker and Chris Paul are better than Mitchell and Conley and the Suns have the better coach. Gobert will cause the Suns some problems, but they’ll be able to adapt and exploit the Jazz’s weakness on defense. The Suns can move the ball well and Gobert is slow getting off screens to help. 


Golden State Warriors over Memphis Grizzlies in 6 games


The Grizzlies have a talented young core and will compete for NBA championships for many years. The Grizzlies finished second in the Western Conference, three games ahead of the Warriors. As an 8th seed, the Grizzlies lost in the first round to the Jazz. They are much better on both sides of the ball this season. They are physical defensively, move the ball well, and can shoot well too. Despite this, with Curry, Thompson, Green, and Iguodala all fully healthy and with youngsters Jordan Poole and Jonathan Kuminga on the rise, the Warriors are a better team. They also have more playoff experience and have won multiple championships with this core. The Grizzlies will put up a fight but ultimately come up short.


WCF:


Phoenix Suns over Golden State Warriors in 7 games


These are two of the best teams in the Western Conference and arguably two of the top 5 teams in the entire NBA. The Suns have the 3rd best efficiency in the NBA at 106.8, are extremely mobile, physical, and can create turnovers. They average under 8.6 steals a game, are 6th best in the league, and have a fantastic transition defense, allowing only 14.8 opponents points per game off turnovers. They are also one of the best defensive rebounding teams in the league. The Warriors have the second-best defensive efficiency at 106.6, are the second-best defensive rebounding team, and also force 8.8 steals per game, 3rd in the NBA. Both teams have incredible defenses, it will be difficult for both teams’ offenses to be consistently effective. The Suns are great at moving the ball around to get open shots, which will be a great way to open up the Warriors’ defense. The Warriors can shoot the ball extremely well from anywhere on the floor. This series can go either way, but the home-court advantage will be the difference.


NBA FINALS:


A rematch of the 2021 Finals. The Phoenix Suns and the Milwaukee Bucks. This finals matchup would not surprise me at all, as these two teams are arguably the best in their respective conference. The Suns dominated their opponents all season long finishing 64-18 and although the Bucks finished third in the East at 51-31, it was a very tight race and they have Giannis Antetokounmpo, arguably the best player in the NBA right now. Both teams are known for their aggressive defense and lethal transition game. Both teams have superstars at every position and are extremely well-coached; Monty Williams and Mike Budenholzer have done a fantastic job all year long overcoming any challenges thrown their way. Both teams have top 5 offenses in terms of shooting percentage, rebounding, and assist percentage. Even though both teams know how to win in the playoffs, the Bucks have more playoff experience with their current core. I can see the Bucks repeating just as easily as I can see Chris Paul get his elusive first ring with the Suns. Both of these teams are great and this series will definitely go to seven, but I have the Suns winning on their home court in overtime.